Match Info

Regionalliga Central - Round 28

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	Wallern-Marienkirchen		Leoben

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.75	11.5
	1.11	8.2	13
	1.11	9.74	12.7
	1.11	9.08	13.05	Watch
	1.07	8.7	16
	1.11	8.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.71)	8.61 ↑ (4.13)	13.21 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wallern-Marienkirchen
82.5%

Draw
10.6%

Leoben
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

22.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

21.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wallern-Marienkirchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wallern-Marienkirchen's performance.

Leoben has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leoben might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wallern-Marienkirchen than the current prediction. (-27.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wallern-Marienkirchen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leoben than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leoben could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Wallern Marienkirchen - Leoben Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Wallern (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Wallern (1.43) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Wallern (1.46) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -1, 1st Half - Wallern (1.76) (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -1, 2nd Half - Wallern (1.61) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Wallern-Marienkirchen will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wallern-Marienkirchen will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Wallern (votes: 41 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
64', 3 - 2, ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)

In recent matches, Wallern has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leoben is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Wallern is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wallern won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wallern-Marienkirchen
Austrian Regionalliga Central
16.05.25	Union Vöcklamarkt - Wallern-Marienkirchen	2:3 ✺
09.05.25	Wallern-Marienkirchen - Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Ried II - Wallern-Marienkirchen	3:0 ✺
25.04.25	Wallern-Marienkirchen - ASKÖ Oedt	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Gleisdorf - Wallern-Marienkirchen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLWT
- DSV Leoben
Austrian Regionalliga Central
16.05.25	Leoben - Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	ASKÖ Oedt - Leoben	5:0 ✺
02.05.25	Leoben - Wolfsberger AC II	0:3 ✺
25.04.25	SC Weiz - Leoben	7:0 ✺
17.04.25	Leoben - Deutschlandsberger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
25.10.24	Leoben - Wallern-Marienkirchen	1:3

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