Match Info

National League South - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Elmbridge Xcel Sports Hub (Surrey)


	Walton & Hersham		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	3	3.65	2
	3.22	4.03	2.04
	3.16	4.03	1.98	Watch
	3.15	3.95	1.96
	3.25	3.87	1.99
	3	3.75	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.17)	3.88 ↑ (3.66)	2 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walton & Hersham
29.6%

Draw
23.9%

Farnborough
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.8%

25%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

22%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walton & Hersham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Farnborough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Walton & Hersham - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Dixon J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Frost T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', German S. 🟥,
79', 1 - 2, Golding D. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Woollard Innocent K. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 24th in the Relegation and 20th).

Walton & Hersham is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Farnborough has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Farnborough is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Walton & Hersham has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Walton & Hersham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Farnborough	11	4	2	5	10:17	-7	14
23	Walton & Hersham	11	2	2	7	10:27	-17	8

Outrights of English National League South for now

Farnborough: 0.74% Walton & Hersham: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walton & Hersham
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Walton & Hersham - Horsham	0:3 ✺
English National League South
12.09.26	Truro City - Walton & Hersham	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Walton & Hersham - Ebbsfleet United	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Tonbridge Angels - Walton & Hersham	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Walton & Hersham - Dorking Wanderers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTLLL
- Farnborough
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Farnborough - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
English National League South
12.09.26	Farnborough - Dover Athletic	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Farnborough	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	0:4 ✺
31.08.26	Braintree Town - Farnborough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Walton & Hersham - Farnborough	2:1
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Walton & Hersham - Farnborough	2:1

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