Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Warrington Rylands		Redcar Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.30	2.60
	1.82	3.45	3.5
	2.32	3.5	2.67
	2.35	3.62	2.71	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.6
	2.41	3.56	2.68
	2.32	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.77)	3.48 ↓ (3.86)	2.77 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Rylands
40.7%

Draw
26.3%

Redcar Athletic
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

23.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Rylands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Rylands's form might have worsened.

Redcar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Redcar Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrington Rylands, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Redcar Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Redcar Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Warrington Rylands - Redcar Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Boyes A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 0 - 2, (Own goal),
63', 0 - 3, Ardelean A. ⚽,
65', 0 - 4, Ardelean A. ⚽,
85', 0 - 5, Round C. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Warrington Rylands might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Redcar Athletic	12	7	4	1	23:11	12	25
6	Warrington Rylands	12	6	2	4	20:17	3	20

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Rylands - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.45%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
18.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Quorn	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bury - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
11.08.26	Lancaster City - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Fylde	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Hebburn Town - Warrington Rylands	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWL
- Redcar Athletic
English NPL Premier Division
18.08.26	Redcar Athletic - Lancaster City	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Quorn - Redcar Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Workington - Redcar Athletic	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Redcar Athletic - Hartlepool United	2:4 ✺
11.07.26	Redcar Athletic - Darlington	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWLL

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