Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski		LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.45	2.62
	2.35	3.17	2.6
	2.29	3.61	2.64	Watch
	2.29	3.48	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)	3.43 ↓ (3.61)	2.61 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
39.1%

Draw
26.3%

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

25.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice Zdrój Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 1 - 0, Iskra J. ⚽,
76', 🟥,
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 1.

Warta Gorzów has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Goczałkowice-Zdrój has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Goczałkowice-Zdrój may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Warta Gorzów won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Goczalkowice Zdroj	14	4	3	7	15:21	-6	15
14	Warta Gorzow	14	3	5	6	13:23	-10	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.04.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Starowice Dolne - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTWW
- LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group III
17.04.26	Polkowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Miedź Legnica 2	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Ślęza Wrocław - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	5:0 ✺
28.03.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.10.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1
18.04.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:1
21.09.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:0
02.03.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:2
12.08.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	3:2
15.04.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:0
10.09.22	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1

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