Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 31

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski		Rekord Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.1	1.5
	3.01	3.8	1.96
	3.01	3.8	1.96
	3.5	3.81	1.88	Watch
	3.27	4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (5.22)	3.9 ↑ (3.84)	1.82 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
26.1%

Draw
23.5%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.1%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

23.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski's performance.

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rekord Bielsko-Biała might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rekord Bielsko-Biała could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Rekord Bielsko Biała Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Warta Gorzów will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Gardzielewicz K. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Ufir D. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Swiderski D. ⚽,
31', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Rekord Bielsko-Biała is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
14.05.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Raków Częstochowa II	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTTWL
- Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 3 - Group III
14.05.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Odra Bytom Odrzański	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Starowice Dolne	6:2 ✺
27.04.24	Unia Turza Śląska - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Ślęza Wrocław	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
28.10.23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:0
29.04.23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	5:2
24.09.22	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:5
14.05.22	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	4:0
09.10.21	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1
08.05.21	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:2
03.10.20	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:0

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