Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski		Starowice Dolne

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	3.9
	1.75	3.7	3.7
	1.84	3.66	3.70	Watch
	1.69	3.82	4.11	Watch
	1.72	3.85	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.29)	3.75 ↑ (3.73)	3.91 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
52.4%

Draw
24.3%

Starowice Dolne
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

24.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski's performance.

Starowice Dolne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Starowice Dolne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starowice Dolne than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Starowice Dolne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Starowice Dolne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Majerczyk P. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Warta Gorzów has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Starowice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Warta Gorzów will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Warta Gorzów won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
31.08.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Carina Gubin	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Skra Częstochowa - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:3 ✺
09.08.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Sparta Katowice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWL
- LZS Starowice Dolne
Polish Division 3 - Group III
30.08.25	Starowice Dolne - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Polonia Nysa - Starowice Dolne	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Starowice Dolne - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:4 ✺
16.08.25	Starowice Dolne - Polkowice	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Starowice Dolne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
25.11.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Starowice Dolne	4:4
05.08.23	Starowice Dolne - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:2

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