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Current Win Probability
Washington Spirit 45.4%
Draw 27.3%
North Carolina Courage 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
24.5%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
23.6%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Washington Spirit's form might have worsened.
North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Washington Spirit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Washington Spirit - North Carolina Courage Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Sandy MacIver (G) 14. Carle G. 9. Rudd T. 24. Morgan E. 6. Wiesner K. 12. Sullivan A. (C) 26. Metayer P. 10. Santos L. 17. Hershfelt H. 2. Rodman T. 11. Martinez Ovando C.
1. Sheridan K. (G) 13. Williams R. 4. Jacobs N. (C) 25. Bell M. 11. Rauch F. 16. Jackson R. 20. Koyama S. 35. Schlegel A. 19. Parkinson E. 2. Sanchez A. 10. Ijeh E.
Substitutes
4. Bernal R. 27. Cantore S. 31. Collins K. (G) 29. Gaines-Ramos E. 33. Hatch A. 35. Haugen M. 16. Tamara Bolt 5. Tse E. 28. Wojdelko S. (G)
33. Betfort H. 26. Boe Risa V. 8. Okafor C. 18. Shiragaki U. 12. Staude N. 7. Thompson L. 17. Weatherholt D. 99. White M. (G) 14. Wickenheiser C.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.
Lind M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽, Koyama S. (A),
9', 0 - 2, Ijeh E. ⚽, Schlegel A. (A),
15', 0 - 3, Ijeh E. ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
35', Morgan E. 🟨,
37', Rauch F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sanchez A. ↓, Betfort H. ↑,
46', Sullivan A. ↓, Bernal R. ↑,
46', Metayer P. ↓, Tamara Bolt ↑,
46', Martinez Ovando C. ↓, Cantore S. ↑,
46', Morgan E. ↓, Tse E. ↑,
47', 1 - 3, Rodman T. ⚽, Wiesner K. (A),
50', 2 - 3, Cantore S. ⚽,
60', Jackson R. ↓, Boe Risa V. ↑,
60', Parkinson E. ↓, Wickenheiser C. ↑,
60', Schlegel A. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
75', Boe Risa V. 🟨,
80', Carle G. ↓, Haugen M. ↑,
82', Ijeh E. ↓, Okafor C. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 3, Bernal R. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 4, Jacobs N. ⚽, Rauch F. (A),
90+8', Bell M. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Washington Spirit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Washington Spirit is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington Spirit won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
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Sandy MacIver (G) 
Carle G. 
Rudd T. 
Morgan E. 
Santos L. 
Martinez Ovando C. 
Rauch F. 
Koyama S. 
Ijeh E. 
Bernal R. 
Cantore S. 
Tamara Bolt 
Boe Risa V. 
Okafor C. 
Gonzalez A. 
Lind M. 
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