Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 6

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Wda Świecie		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.40	2.65
	2.22	3.5	2.55
	2.16	3.67	2.66
	2.22	3.82	2.63	Watch
	2.13	3.6	2.6
	2.19	3.6	2.72	Watch
	2.28	3.38	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.28)	3.57 ↑ (3.38)	2.62 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wda Świecie
40.7%

Draw
25.1%

Noteć Czarnków
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

25.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wda Świecie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Noteć Czarnków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wda Świecie than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Wda Świecie - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Slaby P. ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, Retlewski D. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Kaczmarek A. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

Wda Świecie is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Noteć Czarnków's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wda Świecie won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wda Świecie won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Wda Swiecie	14	8	3	3	22:18	4	27
7	Notec Czarnkow	14	6	2	6	20:19	1	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wda Świecie
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Wda Świecie - Grom Nowy Staw	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Wda Świecie - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTWT
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.08.26	Noteć Czarnków - Elana Toruń	3:1 ✺
19.08.26	KKS Kalisz - Noteć Czarnków	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Noteć Czarnków - Grom Nowy Staw	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Noteć Czarnków	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.05.26	Wda Świecie - Noteć Czarnków	1:3
15.11.25	Noteć Czarnków - Wda Świecie	3:0
11.05.25	Noteć Czarnków - Wda Świecie	3:0
13.10.24	Wda Świecie - Noteć Czarnków	6:0

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