Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD - ROUND 20

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Weiden		Donaustauf

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.75	1.46
	5.4	4.4	1.36
	4.6	4.5	1.45
	5.14	4.86	1.49
	5.5	4.2	1.42
	5.5	4.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↓ (6.5)	4.58 ↓ (5.2)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weiden
17.6%

Draw
19.7%

Donaustauf
62.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.1%

17.6%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

15.9%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Donaustauf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Donaustauf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weiden than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donaustauf than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Donaustauf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Weiden - Donaustauf Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Weiden will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Donaustauf will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Donaustauf: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Weiden has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Donaustauf in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Donaustauf could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Donaustauf is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Weiden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg SV Weiden
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
17.03.23	Weiden - Jahn Regensburg II	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Geesdorf - Weiden	0:5 ✺
04.03.23	Weiden - Kornburg	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Cham - Weiden	3:1 ✺
25.11.22	Eltersdorf - Weiden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLL
- SV Donaustauf
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
18.03.23	Donaustauf - Kornburg	3:0 ✺
15.03.23	Donaustauf - Cham	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Donaustauf - Gebenbach	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Donaustauf - DJK Ammerthal	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Großbardorf - Donaustauf	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
23.07.22	Donaustauf - Weiden	3:0

Weiden - Donaustauf