The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Werder Bremen 42%
Draw 25.9%
Köln 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
25.5%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
24.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
The chances for Köln have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Werder Bremen - Köln Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. El Sherif M. (G) 15. Weiss M. 5. Ulbrich M. 23. Nemeth H. 2. D'Angelo C. 11. Sternad M. 28. Wirtz J. 18. Hausicke L. (C) 31. Wieder V. 7. Muhlhaus L. 9. Desic M.
34. Fuchs I. (G) 11. Bremer P. 5. Degen C. 4. Agrez S. 26. Wiankowska M. 9. Achcinska A. 10. Zawistowska W. 8. Vogt L. 27. Feiersinger L. (C) 6. Jessen S. 7. Stolze A.
Substitutes
22. Dieckmann R. 1. Fischer V. (G) 4. Ronan K. 24. Schmidt L. 13. Walkling R. 6. Wichmann R.
17. Andrade L. 15. Bohnen A. 25. Donhauser L. 32. Dubel A. (G) 30. Elsen C. 16. Hasenauer Z. 14. Imping C. 29. Leimenstoll V. 24. Touon E.
Coaches
Kromp F.
Carlson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Wirtz J. 🟨,
8', Muhlhaus L. 🟨,
9', Feiersinger L. (Pen),
9', 0 - 1, Bremer P. ⚽,
12', Ulbrich M. 🟨,
28', Muhlhaus L. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Muhlhaus L. ⚽, D'Angelo C. (A),
70', Stolze A. ↓, Leimenstoll V. ↑,
83', Achcinska A. 🟨,
85', Bremer P. ↓, Hasenauer Z. ↑,
90+5', Vogt L. 🟨,
90+6', Wieder V. ↓, Walkling R. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3.
Werder is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Köln has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Werder will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Werder won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:4. (average 3:0.7).