Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 12

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Werder Bremen II		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.85	2.52
	2.38	3.95	2.54
	2.24	3.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.35)	3.87 ↑ (3.87)	2.52 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen II
39.9%

Draw
23.7%

Lübeck
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

23.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

23.1%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen II than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Werder Bremen II - Lübeck Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lübeck (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lübeck (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Lübeck (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lübeck (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Musah S. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Rocker C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, Adeh W. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Yildirim S. ⚽,
90+2', Taffertshofer U. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder Bremen II won 2.

In recent matches, Werder Bremen II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lübeck is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lübeck may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Werder Bremen II has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Werder Bremen II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder Bremen II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen II
German Regionalliga North
26.09.25	Werder Bremen II - Kickers Emden	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Drochtersen Assel - Werder Bremen II	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Werder Bremen II - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Werder Bremen II - Meppen	0:6 ✺
06.09.25	Werder Bremen II - Blau-Weiß Lohne	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTLW
- Vfb Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
26.09.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Lübeck	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Lübeck - Schöningen	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Lübeck - Altona	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Hannover II - Lübeck	0:1 ✺
27.08.25	Lübeck - Jeddeloh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
16.05.25	Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	1:6
03.11.24	Werder Bremen II - Lübeck	1:1
10.05.23	Werder Bremen II - Lübeck	2:1
09.09.22	Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	2:1
07.05.22	Werder Bremen II - Lübeck	0:1
13.04.22	Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	1:0
06.10.19	Lübeck - Werder Bremen II	2:1

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