Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 8

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Kilburn Sportsplex (Adelaide)


	West Adelaide		North Eastern MetroStars

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.15	4.45	1.45	Watch
	5.31	4.54	1.46
	5.43	4.49	1.49	Watch
	5	4.2	1.44
	5.54	4.5	1.43
	4.6	3.9	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (4.6)	4.35 ↑ (3.9)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Adelaide
17.4%

Draw
20.7%

North Eastern MetroStars
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.3%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.5%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Adelaide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

North Eastern MetroStars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Eastern MetroStars than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

West Adelaide - North Eastern MetroStars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Adelaide won 0.

In recent matches, West Adelaide has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

MetroStars is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, MetroStars is the team to beat.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, West Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:39. (average 1.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, West Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.8:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Adelaide SC
Australian NPL South Australian
18.04.26	Adelaide United U23 - West Adelaide	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	West Adelaide - FK Beograd	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	West Adelaide - Campbelltown City	4:4 ✺
21.03.26	Croydon - West Adelaide	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	West Adelaide - Adelaide Comets	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LTTWW
- North Eastern MetroStars
Australian NPL South Australian
18.04.26	North Eastern MetroStars - FK Beograd	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	West Torrens Birkalla - North Eastern MetroStars	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	North Eastern MetroStars - Para Hills Knights	7:0 ✺
21.03.26	North Eastern MetroStars - Adelaide City	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Sturt Lions - North Eastern MetroStars	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
10.06.23	West Adelaide - North Eastern MetroStars	2:3
25.03.23	North Eastern MetroStars - West Adelaide	2:0
Club Friendly
24.01.20	North Eastern MetroStars - West Adelaide	7:0
Australian NPL South Australian
17.08.19	West Adelaide - North Eastern MetroStars	0:4
11.05.19	North Eastern MetroStars - West Adelaide	4:1
Club Friendly
16.02.19	West Adelaide - North Eastern MetroStars	3:1
Australian NPL South Australian
16.06.18	North Eastern MetroStars - West Adelaide	5:2

West Adelaide - North Eastern MetroStars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide