Match Info

AUSTRALIA: SA State League - Round 13

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday


	West Torrens Birkalla		Adelaide Victory

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	4.4
	1.55	4.33	4.5
	1.83	4.35	4.05
	1.55	4.36	4.06
	1.53	4.2	4.33
	1.54	4.4	4.54
	1.55	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.45)	4.28 ↓ (5)	4.34 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Torrens Birkalla
57.6%

Draw
21.3%

Adelaide Victory
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

18.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

17.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Torrens Birkalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Adelaide Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Torrens Birkalla than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Torrens Birkalla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Victory than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

West Torrens Birkalla - Adelaide Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches West Torrens is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Adelaide Victory is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match West Torrens is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Torrens Birkalla
Australian SA State League
25.05.24	West Adelaide - West Torrens Birkalla	0:5 ✺
18.05.24	Adelaide Vipers - West Torrens Birkalla	4:2 ✺
10.05.24	West Torrens Birkalla - Fulham United	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Playford City Patriots - West Torrens Birkalla	2:1 ✺
26.04.24	West Torrens Birkalla - Sturt Lions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLW
- Adelaide Victory
Australian SA State League
25.05.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Blue Eagles	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Adelaide Victory - West Adelaide	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Cumberland United - Adelaide Victory	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Vipers	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Adelaide Cobras - Adelaide Victory	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WLLLL

West Torrens Birkalla - Adelaide Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide