Match Info

Botola 2 - Round 30

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Widad Témara		USM Oujda

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.87	4.33
	1.82	2.92	4.55
	1.86	2.88	5.07
	1.84	2.84	5.05	Watch
	1.8	2.7	5
	1.86	2.96	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.43)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	4.82 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widad Témara
49.4%

Draw
31.7%

USM Oujda
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

32.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

32.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widad Témara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widad Témara's performance.

USM Oujda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USM Oujda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widad Témara than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widad Témara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Oujda than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Oujda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Widad Témara - USM Oujda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Botola Pro and 12).

Widad Témara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

USM Oujda has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Widad Témara could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Widad Témara won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Widad Témara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	USM Oujda	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widad Témara
Moroccan Botola 2
27.06.26	Stade Marocain - Widad Témara	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Widad Témara - Raja de Beni Mellal	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Widad Témara	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Widad Témara - KAC Kenitra	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Chabab Atlas Khénifra - Widad Témara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTTT
- USM Oujda
Moroccan Botola 2
27.06.26	USM Oujda - Chabab Atlas Khénifra	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - USM Oujda	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	USM Oujda - Boujaad	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Mouloudia Club dOujda - USM Oujda	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	USM Oujda - Racing de Casablanca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola 2
14.02.26	USM Oujda - Widad Témara	0:0
20.05.23	Widad Témara - USM Oujda	0:0
18.02.18	Widad Témara - USM Oujda	1:1

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