Match Info

Regionalliga East - Round 22

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Wiener		Mauerwerk

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	6.25
	1.26	5.2	8.4
	1.26	5.44	9.11	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.33	4.96	7.83	Watch
	1.26	5.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	4.97 ↑ (4)	7.75 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiener
69.8%

Draw
18.4%

Mauerwerk
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.7%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiener has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wiener's performance.

Mauerwerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mauerwerk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiener than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wiener that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mauerwerk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Wiener - Mauerwerk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Najdovski L. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Rohricht M. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Domoraud W. ⚽,
90+5', Domoraud W. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wiener won 3.

Wiener is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mauerwerk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Wiener is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wiener to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Wiener won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:20 (average 1.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Wiener won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:12 (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiener SK
Austrian Regionalliga East
05.04.25	Sportunion Mauer - Wiener	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Wiener - TWL Elektra	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Leobendorf - Wiener	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Wiener - Austria Wien II	1:3 ✺
07.03.25	Oberwart - Wiener	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLW
- FC Mauerwerk
Austrian Regionalliga East
04.04.25	Mauerwerk - Gloggnitz	1:4 ✺
29.03.25	Wiener Viktoria - Mauerwerk	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Mauerwerk - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	1:5 ✺
15.03.25	Siegendorf - Mauerwerk	0:0 ✺
07.03.25	Mauerwerk - Favoritner	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
24.09.24	Mauerwerk - Wiener	2:3
18.05.24	Mauerwerk - Wiener	1:0
20.10.23	Wiener - Mauerwerk	1:1
21.04.23	Mauerwerk - Wiener	0:2
30.09.22	Wiener - Mauerwerk	2:0
15.05.22	Mauerwerk - Wiener	0:1
01.10.21	Wiener - Mauerwerk	6:0

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