Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Am Petz (Wiltz)


	Wiltz 71		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.40	1.39
	4.4	3.85	1.55
	4.36	4.16	1.61
	4.57	4.16	1.59	Watch
	4.25	4.05	1.57
	6.78	4	1.42
	4.4	3.9	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (3.03)	4.07 ↑ (3.58)	1.53 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wiltz 71
18.4%

Draw
22.3%

Progrès Niedercorn
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

25.7%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wiltz 71 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wiltz 71's form might have worsened.

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progrès Niedercorn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiltz 71 than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wiltz 71, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Progrès Niedercorn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Hadji S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Hadji S. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Schroeder C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wiltz 71 won 1.

Wiltz 71 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Progrès Niedercorn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wiltz 71 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wiltz 71 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13:5	8	16
15	Wiltz	8	1	1	6	14:22	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wiltz 71
Luxembourg National Division
06.09.26	Jeunesse Esch - Wiltz 71	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Wiltz 71 - F91 Dudelange	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Wiltz 71 - Differdange 03	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Swift Hesperange - Wiltz 71	2:7 ✺
01.08.26	Wiltz 71 - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWT
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
06.09.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Rumelange	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Progrès Niedercorn	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Progrès Niedercorn - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Atert Bissen - Progrès Niedercorn	0:4 ✺
01.08.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Jeunesse Esch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1
23.04.25	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	3:2
Luxembourg National Division
16.03.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Wiltz 71	3:1
21.09.24	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2
30.03.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Wiltz 71	3:0
27.09.23	Wiltz 71 - Progrès Niedercorn	2:2
05.03.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Wiltz 71	3:0

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