Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Wisła II Kraków		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.60	2.15
	2.75	3.45	2.12
	2.73	3.77	2.17	Watch
	2.49	3.72	2.26	Watch
	2.86	3.45	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.86)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)	2.15 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła II Kraków
33.4%

Draw
24.9%

Chełmianka Chełm
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła II Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła II Kraków than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Wisła II Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Okoniewski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Cichocki P. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In recent matches, Wisła II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chełmianka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chełmianka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wisła II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18:5	13	27
12	Wisla II	11	3	4	4	13:16	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Chełmianka Chełm - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.39%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła II Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
30.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Wisła II Kraków	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Moravia Morawica	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Wisła II Kraków	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTLW
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.08.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Wieczysta II	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Wisłoka Dębica	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Moravia Morawica - Chełmianka Chełm	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.02.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Wisła II Kraków	2:1
16.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:4
21.03.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Wisła II Kraków	1:1
24.08.24	Wisła II Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	0:1

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