Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 1

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Grundbacher D. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Austria	Disney+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Disney+
Colombia	ESPN
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Disney+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	TVC Deportes
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Wolfsburg		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4
	1.88	3.55	3.35
	1.75	4.18	3.91
	1.91	3.79	3.46	Watch
	1.79	3.85	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)	3.71 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
51.1%

Draw
23.9%

Paris Saint-Germain
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

24.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	9.5%	4.8%

Wolfsburg - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Wolfsburg (5.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wolfsburg will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolfsburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johannes S. (G) 24. Wedemeyer M. 3. Dijkstra C. 16. Kuver C. 15. Levels J. 6. Minge J. (C) 10. Huth S. 5. Peddemors E. 28. Zicai C. 11. Popp A. 9. Beerensteyn L.	27. Earps M. (G) 5. De Almeida E. 19. Gaetino E. 29. Mbock G. 10. Ajibade R. 6. Echegini J. 14. Groenen J. 7. Karchaoui S. (C) 77. Carmona O. 17. Leuchter R. 30. Kanjinga M.
Substitutes
20. Bergsvand G. 2. Bjelde T. 19. Bussy K. 25. Endemann V. 18. Kielland J. 39. Linder S. 33. Pujols J. 12. Smolarczyk N. (G) 21. Tufekovic M. (G)	24. Benera B. 9. Brennskag-Dorsin F. 22. Diakite T. 3. Dunn C. 20. Elimbi T. 21. Graziani O. 12. Isabela 11. Jourde F. 1. Kiedrzynek K. (G) 39. Morissaint L. 2. Samoura T. 33. Toussaint O. (G)
Coaches
Lerch S.	Paulo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Groenen J. (Own goal),
42', 2 - 0, Peddemors E. ⚽, Huth S. (A),
44', Groenen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leuchter R. ↓, Elimbi T. ↑,
63', Zicai C. ↓, Bussy K. ↑,
63', Wedemeyer M. ↓, Linder S. ↑,
68', Huth S. 🟨,
79', Echegini J. ↓, Jourde F. ↑,
79', Groenen J. ↓, Diakite T. ↑,
83', Beerensteyn L. ↓, Kielland J. ↑,
85', Kanjinga M. ↓, Morissaint L. ↑,
90', 3 - 0, Popp A. ⚽,
90+1', Ajibade R. ↓, Graziani O. ↑,
90+1', Huth S. ↓, Bjelde T. ↑,
90+1', Peddemors E. ↓, Pujols J. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 0, Minge J. (Pen),

Preview

Wolfsburg has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PSG is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
04.10.25	SGS Essen - Wolfsburg	0:8 ✺
24.09.25	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	Köln - Wolfsburg	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Wolfsburg - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:1 ✺
07.09.25	Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWT
- Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
French Division 1 Women
04.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	OL Lyonnes - Paris Saint-Germain	6:1 ✺
20.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	5:2 ✺
06.09.25	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly Women
30.08.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Ajax	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
30.03.23	Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
22.03.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Wolfsburg	0:1
26.04.15	Paris Saint-Germain - Wolfsburg	1:2
18.04.15	Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2

Wolfsburg - Paris Saint-Germain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide