Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Września		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.7	2.28
	4	3.74	1.72	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.65)	3.71 ↓ (3.78)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Września
26.9%

Draw
24.8%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

24%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.3%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Września has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Września than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Września - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 1 - 0, Kwaczreliszwili S. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Golinski J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Jaszczak J. ⚽,
34', 1 - 3, Golinski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Września is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nowe Skalmierzyce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nowe Skalmierzyce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nowe Skalmierzyce could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Września
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.08.25	Września - Flota Świnoujście	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Września	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Września - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Wda Świecie - Września	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Września - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Elana Toruń	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Kluczevia Stargard	0:3 ✺
03.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLL

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