The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wydad Casablanca 40.6%
Draw 30.9%
Maghreb Fez 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
28.2%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
29.6%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wydad Casablanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wydad Casablanca's form might have worsened.
Maghreb Fez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maghreb Fez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wydad Casablanca than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wydad Casablanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maghreb Fez than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maghreb Fez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Wydad Casablanca - Maghreb Fez Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Wydad Casablanca will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Maghreb Fez will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wydad Casablanca: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Aqzdaou O. (G) 22. Meijers B. 5. El Wafi A. 13. Moussaddaq S. 24. Boucheta A. 27. Bakasu J. 32. Byar N. 11. Amrabat N. (C) 10. Vaca R. 28. Nassi W. 26. Coulibaly A.
12. Errahmany O. (G) 22. Ait Allal H. 5. Chabani A. 13. Rhaili A. 21. Ouhrou M. 8. Harmach A. (C) 6. Noureddine O. 26. Brika A. 19. Tahiri A. 11. Allouch S. 9. Benjdida S.
Substitutes
9. Ben Yedder W. 34. Bouchouari M. 42. El Afouri B. 77. El Moutaraji Z. 12. El Wadi A. (G) 29. Khali N. 17. Mahtou R. 8. Rayhi M.
68. Baba K. 77. Dalouzi Y. 32. El Jabali D. 3. Hamadi Z. 2. Hamza A. 4. Khorsa S. 33. Moudam O. (G) 95. Oudrhiri A. 7. Seakanyeng K.
Coaches
Benchrifa M.
Franco P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Benjdida S. ⚽,
33', Amrabat N. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Hamadi Z. 🟨,
45+5', Byar N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Bakasu J. ↓, Ben Yedder W. ↑,
68', Amrabat N. ↓, Rihani S. ↑,
75', Harmach A. 🟨,
76', Nassi W. ↓, El Moutaraji Z. ↑,
77', Rihani S. 🟨,
78', Harmach A. ↓, Hamza A. ↑,
80', Rihani S. 🟨,
85', Tahiri A. ↓, Oudrhiri A. ↑,
85', Brika A. ↓, Dalouzi Y. ↑,
87', Byar N. ↓, Rayhi M. ↑,
89', Ben Yedder W. 🟨,
90+3', Allouch S. ↓, Khorsa S. ↑,
90+3', Noureddine O. ↓, Seakanyeng K. ↑,
90+6', Errahmany O. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wydad Casablanca won 0.
Wydad Casablanca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Maghreb Fez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Wydad Casablanca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Wydad Casablanca might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wydad Casablanca won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 0.8:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Wydad Casablanca won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Maghreb Fez
2
2
0
0
4:2
2
6
7
Wydad AC
2
1
0
1
3:3
0
3
Last Results with these Odds
Wydad Casablanca - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.54%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.