Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 16

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Würzburger FV		DJK Ammerthal

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.95	3.8
	1.74	3.77	3.86
	1.74	3.88	3.89
	1.71	3.92	3.86
	1.77	3.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.13)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	3.8 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Würzburger FV
52.5%

Draw
23.5%

DJK Ammerthal
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

22.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger FV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Würzburger FV's performance.

DJK Ammerthal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and DJK Ammerthal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger FV than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Würzburger FV that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DJK Ammerthal than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that DJK Ammerthal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Wild J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 1 - 1, Popp M. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Rothlein S. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Würzburger FV won 1.

Würzburger FV is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ammerthal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ammerthal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Würzburger FV will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Würzburger FV won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:25 (average 1.5:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Würzburger FV won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger FV
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
03.10.24	Würzburger FV - Eltersdorf	1:3 ✺
28.09.24	Fortuna Regensburg - Würzburger FV	6:0 ✺
21.09.24	Würzburger FV - Ingolstadt II	0:1 ✺
18.09.24	Würzburger FV - Jahn Regensburg II	5:1 ✺
14.09.24	Eichstätt - Würzburger FV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWT
- DJK Ammerthal
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
05.10.24	Gebenbach - DJK Ammerthal	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	Kornburg - DJK Ammerthal	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	DJK Ammerthal - Neumarkt	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	DJK Ammerthal - Karlburg	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	DJK Ammerthal - Eltersdorf	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
27.04.24	DJK Ammerthal - Würzburger FV	2:0
03.10.23	Würzburger FV - DJK Ammerthal	1:3
25.03.23	Würzburger FV - DJK Ammerthal	6:0
21.08.22	DJK Ammerthal - Würzburger FV	5:3
30.10.21	Würzburger FV - DJK Ammerthal	0:3
23.07.21	DJK Ammerthal - Würzburger FV	2:1
24.11.18	Würzburger FV - DJK Ammerthal	1:0

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