Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 8

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	XV de Jaú		SKA Brasil

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.96	2.96	3.88
	1.9	3.13	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.75)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	3.86 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
47.1%

Draw
29.5%

SKA Brasil
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

SKA Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for XV de Jaú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Brasil than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

XV de Jaú is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SKA Brasil is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match XV de Jaú is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
25.02.24	VOCEM - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	Jabaquara - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	XV de Jaú - Penapolense	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - XV de Jaú	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	XV de Jaú - Nacional SP	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWLW
- SKA Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
25.02.24	Joseense - SKA Brasil	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	SKA Brasil - VOCEM	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Rio Branco de Americana - SKA Brasil	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	SKA Brasil - Independente de Limeira	1:0 ✺
07.02.24	Barretos - SKA Brasil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

XV de Jaú - SKA Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide