Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 8

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Xerez Deportivo		Gerena

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	1.92	3.15	3.56
	1.94	3.28	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
46.5%

Draw
27.9%

Gerena
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.5%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Xerez Deportivo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Preview

Recent matches Xerez Deportivo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gerena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xerez Deportivo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Xerez Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Xerez Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.10.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Xerez Deportivo - Ayamonte	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Coria CF - Xerez Deportivo	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Xerez Deportivo - La Palma	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Sevilla C - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.10.23	Gerena - Bollullos	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Puente Genil - Gerena	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Gerena - Pozoblanco	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Utrera - Gerena	3:2 ✺
24.09.23	Gerena - Conil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.09.19	Xerez Deportivo - Gerena	3:0
19.05.19	Xerez Deportivo - Gerena	3:1
23.12.18	Gerena - Xerez Deportivo	1:1

Xerez Deportivo - Gerena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide