Match Info

Botola Pro - Round 27

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Olympique de Rabat (Rabat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia, SNRT Live


	Yacoub El Mansour		Raja Casablanca

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.00	2.20
	3.10	2.90	2.15
	3.60	2.75	2.10
	3.48	3.05	2.34
	4.3	3.39	1.79	Watch
	3.40	2.45	2.30
	3.22	3.12	2.29	Watch
	3.25	2.85	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (4)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yacoub El Mansour
26.7%

Draw
31.2%

Raja Casablanca
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

28.2%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.6%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yacoub El Mansour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Raja Casablanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raja Casablanca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yacoub El Mansour than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raja Casablanca than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raja Casablanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Yacoub El Mansour - Raja Casablanca Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Yacoub El Mansour will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Raja Casablanca will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raja Casablanca: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Doughmi H. (G) 19. Ahayaoui M. 10. Ajoughlal Z. 8. Azzoubairi N. 2. Balouk M. 7. Fati Z. 33. Khalloufi A. 21. Mansouri B. 3. Morsil Y. 17. Mrabet H. 4. Nasserallah M.	12. Alaoui K. (G) 23. Al Makahasi M. 6. Barkok A. 13. Benoun B. 34. Bougrine S. 17. El Amloud A. 5. Khafifi A. 9. Khafi I. 88. Laftah A. 4. Mokadem I. 99. Oyewusi M.
Substitutes
23. Ahannach S. 30. Boussefiane H. 90. El Badoui M. 58. El Bernaoui O. (G) 77. El Kaaba F. 16. Legnibi Y. 28. Marour Z. 20. Noussir Y. 13. Zine A.	2. Baadi A. 26. Conte B. 21. Dahak M. 38. Ferdaoussi H. 30. Halimi B. 24. Khammas A. 11. Maamouri A. 33. Mchakhchekh M. 32. Zoubir Y. (G)
Coaches
El Jabri M.	Nabi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Oyewusi M. ⚽, El Amloud A. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Fati Z. ⚽, Mansouri B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ahayaoui M. ↓, Ahannach S. ↑,
46', Laftah A. ↓, Maamouri A. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Mrabet H. ⚽,
72', Mokadem I. ↓, Khammas A. ↑,
76', Ajoughlal Z. ↓, Legnibi Y. ↑,
76', Fati Z. ↓, Boussefiane H. ↑,
88', Mansouri B. ↓, Marour Z. ↑,
90', Al Makahasi M. ↓, Ferdaoussi H. ↑,
90+2', Balouk M. ↓, El Badoui M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Raja Casablanca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Raja Casablanca is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yacoub El Mansour won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Raja Casablanca	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3

Last Results with these Odds

Raja Casablanca - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.28%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Yacoub El Mansour
Moroccan Botola
21.06.26	Olympic Safi - Yacoub El Mansour	0:1 ✺
18.06.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Hassania Agadir	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	IR Tanger - Yacoub El Mansour	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Yacoub El Mansour - CODM de Meknès	1:1 ✺
03.06.26	Renaissance Zemamra - Yacoub El Mansour	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLTL
- Raja Casablanca
Moroccan Botola
21.06.26	Raja Casablanca - CODM de Meknès	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Renaissance Zemamra - Raja Casablanca	3:4 ✺
14.06.26	Raja Casablanca - Union de Touarga	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	KAC Marrakech - Raja Casablanca	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Raja Casablanca - Berkane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
13.02.26	Raja Casablanca - Yacoub El Mansour	0:0
Club Friendly
24.08.25	Raja Casablanca - Yacoub El Mansour	0:0

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