Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Yadro St. Petersburg		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.3
	1.79	3.7	3.72	Watch
	1.94	3.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.6)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)	3.47 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yadro St. Petersburg
48.2%

Draw
25.8%

Rodina Moscow 3
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

26.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

24.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yadro St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yadro St. Petersburg's performance.

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodina Moscow 3 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yadro St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yadro St. Petersburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodina Moscow 3 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yadro St. Petersburg - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 2 (Relegation Group)).

Yadro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rodina M has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rodina M could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Yadro have a series of guest games.

Yadro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yadro St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
09.11.22	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Yadro St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Yenisey 2 - Yadro St. Petersburg	2:2 ✺
24.10.22	Zorkiy Krasnogorsk - Yadro St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
19.10.22	Yadro St. Petersburg - Luki-Energiya	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Leningradets - Yadro St. Petersburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLTL
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
09.11.22	Yenisey 2 - Rodina Moscow 3	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zorkiy Krasnogorsk	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Rodina Moscow 3 - Leningradets	0:3 ✺
27.10.22	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Rodina Moscow 3	6:1 ✺
19.10.22	Rodina Moscow 3 - Baltika 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLT

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