Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Yagüe		La Calzada

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.42	2.85
	2.21	3.42	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	2.84 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yagüe
41.3%

Draw
26.6%

La Calzada
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

La Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Yagüe - La Calzada Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Padin M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 0, ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 0.

Yagüe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

La Calzada's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.10.25	Haro Deportivo - Yagüe	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	Yagüe - Varea	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Agoncillo - Yagüe	2:3 ✺
19.09.25	Yagüe - Peña Balsamaiso	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Yagüe - Autol	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWW
- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.10.25	Varea - La Calzada	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	La Calzada - Peña Balsamaiso	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Autol - La Calzada	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	La Calzada - Berceo	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - La Calzada	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.03.25	Yagüe - La Calzada	1:1
10.11.24	La Calzada - Yagüe	3:1
29.01.23	La Calzada - Yagüe	1:1
24.09.22	Yagüe - La Calzada	1:5
29.01.22	Yagüe - La Calzada	2:2
24.04.21	Yagüe - La Calzada	3:0
01.04.21	La Calzada - Yagüe	0:0

Yagüe - La Calzada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide