Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Yagüe		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	6.3	4.75	1.35
	7.35	5.13	1.28
	5.84	4.34	1.47	Watch
	8	4.6	1.3
	9.1	5.05	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↓ (7.61)	4.77 ↓ (4.83)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yagüe
12.5%

Draw
19.1%

UD Logroñés Promesas
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

18.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4%

17.9%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 1.

Recent form of Yagüe has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

UD L Promesas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, UD L Promesas is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Yague	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.04.26	Vianés - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Yagüe - Oyonesa	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Arnedo - Yagüe	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Yagüe - Pradejón	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	San Marcial - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTL
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.04.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - Oyonesa	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Pradejón - UD Logroñés Promesas	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - Anguiano	6:1 ✺
22.03.26	Haro Deportivo - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	UD Logroñés Promesas - Agoncillo	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
13.12.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	0:0
03.05.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	8:0
22.12.24	Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1
28.03.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	1:0
20.01.21	Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0
05.10.19	Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0
26.01.19	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	0:1

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