Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Yate Town		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.2
	2.62	3.6	2.2
	2.97	3.94	2.02
	2.8	3.32	2.27
	3.15	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.52)	3.52 ↑ (3.27)	2.14 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
32%

Draw
25.7%

Gosport Borough
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

27.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gosport Borough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gosport Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yate Town - Gosport Borough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Yate (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Caborn T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 1, Jackson M. ⚽,

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Hungerford Town - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Yate Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Hanwell Town - Yate Town	3:0 ✺
13.08.25	Taunton Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Yate Town - Sholing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLLT
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
25.08.25	Gosport Borough - Walton & Hersham	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Uxbridge - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Gosport Borough - Berkhamsted	3:1 ✺
13.08.25	Gosport Borough - Farnham Town	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Gloucester City - Gosport Borough	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.01.23	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	0:1
26.11.22	Yate Town - Gosport Borough	5:4
23.04.22	Yate Town - Gosport Borough	1:2
11.09.21	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	2:1
07.12.19	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	1:1

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