Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Yeni Malatya Stadyumu (Malatya)

Referee: Keles R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Yeni Malatyaspor		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.4
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	2.95	3.2	2.18
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	3.19	3.35	2.32
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	2.95	3.32	2.21
	2.9	3.35	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.74)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	2.25 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeni Malatyaspor
31.3%

Draw
28%

Göztepe
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26.1%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.5%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeni Malatyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yeni Malatyaspor's performance.

Göztepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Göztepe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yeni Malatyaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Göztepe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Yeni Malatyaspor - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Yeni Malatyaspor will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Göztepe will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Yeni Malatyaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Göztepe will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeni Malatyaspor
Turkish Cup
20.10.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Agrispor	4:3 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
16.10.22	Bandırmaspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Sakaryaspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:1 ✺
16.09.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Altay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLLT
- Göztepe
Turkish Cup
19.10.22	Göztepe - Karaköprü	2:0 ET ✺
Turkish First League
16.10.22	Göztepe - Tuzlaspor	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Pendikspor - Göztepe	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Göztepe - Altınordu	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Boluspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
14.01.22	Yeni Malatyaspor - Göztepe	1:2
22.08.21	Göztepe - Yeni Malatyaspor	0:1
04.02.21	Göztepe - Yeni Malatyaspor	2:2
18.09.20	Yeni Malatyaspor - Göztepe	1:1
20.06.20	Yeni Malatyaspor - Göztepe	2:1
10.11.19	Göztepe - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:1
Turkish Cup
27.02.19	Göztepe - Yeni Malatyaspor	1:1 penalties

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