The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yeni Malatyaspor 39.7%
Draw 29.3%
Kayserispor 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
28.3%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
19.9%
48%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yeni Malatyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yeni Malatyaspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+17%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayserispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
23.8%
9.5%
Yeni Malatyaspor - Kayserispor Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Yeni Malatyaspor will win (votes: 28 - 66.7%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 4 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 23.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Yeni Malatyaspor: 52.4% โ 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 15).
Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 20 (29.2%), has project points - 34, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Kayserispor has the most likely position - 15 (11.05%), has project points - 45, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Yeni Malatyaspor won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Yeni Malatyaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
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