Match Info

K League 2 - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Yongin Mireu Stadium (Yongin)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Yongin		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.4	3.15	2.08
	3.63	3.34	2.2
	3.42	3.37	2.11	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.15
	3.39	3.14	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.37)	3.17 ↓ (3.27)	2.12 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yongin
27.5%

Draw
29.1%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

28.6%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.2%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yongin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yongin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Yongin - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Yongin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hwang Seong-Min (G) 15. Kim Hyeon-jun 4. Kwak Yun-Ho 44. Lee Jin-Seop 22. Kim Han-Gil 8. Choi Young-Jun (C) 66. Kim Han-Seo 7. Kim Min-Woo 11. Gabriel Tigrao 9. Suk Hyun-Jun 88. Lee Seung-Joon	1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 14. Elionay 33. Park Su-bin (C) 11. Lee Jun-Sang 32. Yun Min-Ho 10. Villero P.
Substitutes
13. Cha Seung-Hyeon 3. Cho Hyun-Woo 20. Choi Chi-Ung 27. Kim Bo-Sub 14. Kim Jong-Suk 18. Lee Jae-hyung 17. Lee Seon-Yu 1. Novo E. (G) 6. Shin Jin-Ho	28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 18. Kim Min-jae 25. Kudo S. 36. Lee Jae-Wook 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 21. Park Sang-Hyeok 16. Ryu Jun-sun 19. Yang Tae-yang 5. Yu Sun
Coaches
Choi Yun-Kyum	Jeon Kyung-jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Lee Sang-Min 🟨,
35', Choi Young-Jun 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hwang Seok-Ki ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
52', 0 - 1, You Ju-An ⚽, Lee Jun-Sang (A),
55', 0 - 2, Kim Han-Seo (Own goal),
59', 1 - 2, Lee Seung-Joon ⚽, Choi Young-Jun (A),
59', Choi Young-Jun ↓, Choi Chi-Ung ↑,
59', Lee Seung-Joon ↓, Kim Bo-Sub ↑,
61', Lee Sang-Min ↓, Ryu Jun-sun ↑,
61', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Lee Jeong-Bin ↑,
64', Lee Jin-Seop ↓, Cha Seung-Hyeon ↑,
72', Kim Han-Gil ↓, Lee Jae-hyung ↑,
72', Kim Min-Woo ↓, Kim Jong-Suk ↑,
73', Cha Seung-Hyeon 🟨,
75', Kim Han-Seo 🟥,
78', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Yang Tae-yang ↑,
80', Yang Tae-yang 🟨,
87', Yun Min-Ho ↓, Kudo S. ↑,
90+10', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Seongnam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Seongnam might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31
13	Yongin	25	5	12	8	31:35	-4	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yongin FC
South Korean K-League 2
26.04.26	Yongin - Gimhae	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Busan I Park - Yongin	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Yongin - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Yongin - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Hwaseong - Yongin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTLT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
25.04.26	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Hwaseong - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimpo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWT

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