Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Young Africans		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.55	Watch
	2.4	2.7	2.37
	2.85	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.92	2.96	2.71
	2.92	2.77	2.71
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.77	2.97	2.58	Watch
	2.8	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.5)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.57 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Africans
33.1%

Draw
31.4%

Mamelodi Sundowns
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

32.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Africans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Africans than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Young Africans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Young Africans - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Diarra D. (G) 7. Mpia Nzengeli M. 2. Hamad I. 3. Mwamnyeto B. (C) 5. Dickson J. 13. Mutambala L. 27. Yahya M. 19. Mkude J. 10. Aziz Ki S. 24. Mzize C. 25. Musonda K.	30. Williams R. (G) 20. Kekana G. 8. Zungu B. 5. Lebusa M. 25. Mudau K. 4. Mokoena T. (C) 11. Allende M. 32. Lunga D. 38. Shalulile P. 12. Lorch T. 23. Costa L.
Substitutes
37. Gift F. 14. Guede Gnadou J. 30. Kibabage N. 6. Makudubela M. 1. Mnata M. (G) 17. Mussa F. 23. Okrah A. 18. Sureboy 20. Zawadi M.	19. Aubaas B. J. 16. Esquivel M. 33. Maseko T. 37. Matthews T. 21. Mkhulise S. 17. Modiba A. 27. Morena T. 34. Mvala M. 1. Onyango D. (G)
Coaches
Gamondi M.	Mokwena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Zungu B. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
16', Mutambala L. 🟨,
18', Modiba A. 🟨,
45+1', Mpia Nzengeli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Lebusa M. ↓, Mkhulise S. ↑,
70', Costa L. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
74', Aziz Ki S. ↓, Guede Gnadou J. ↑,
74', Musonda K. ↓, Okrah A. ↑,
83', Shalulile P. ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
83', Lorch T. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
88', Lunga D. 🟨,
90+1', Mzize C. ↓, Kibabage N. ↑,
90+1', Dickson J. ↓, Gift F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Young Africans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mamelodi Sundowns in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Mamelodi Sundowns have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Africans SC
Tanzanian Premier League
17.03.24	Azam - Young Africans	2:1 ✺
14.03.24	Young Africans - Geita Gold	1:0 ✺
11.03.24	Young Africans - Singida Black Stars	5:0 ✺
08.03.24	Namungo - Young Africans	1:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
01.03.24	Al Ahly Cairo - Young Africans	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWWL
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Nedbank Cup
17.03.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Durban City	2:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
12.03.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Supersport United	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Chippa United	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
02.03.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - TP Mazembe	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
27.02.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - AmaZulu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWWW

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