Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CONFEDERATION CUP - ROUND 5

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Referee: Mahamat A. (Cha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Young Africans		Monastir

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.1	4.8
	1.65	3.2	5.2
	1.58	3.33	5.74
	1.62	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.61	3.55	5.8	Watch
	1.67	3.25	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.89)	3.25 ↑ (2.96)	5.28 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Africans
54.9%

Draw
27.9%

Monastir
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

30.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

29%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Africans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Young Africans's performance.

Monastir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Africans than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monastir than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	0%	4.3%

Young Africans - Monastir Predictions

Users Predictions: Young Africans will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Young Africans in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Monastir is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monastir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Young Africans is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Young Africans to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Young Africans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Africans SC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.03.23	Young Africans - Geita Gold	3:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
08.03.23	Young Africans - Real Bamako	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Real Bamako - Young Africans	1:1 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
22.02.23	Kinondoni MC - Young Africans	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
19.02.23	Young Africans - TP Mazembe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWW
- US Monastir
CAF Confederation Cup
08.03.23	Monastir - TP Mazembe	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
02.03.23	Monastir - Tataouine	1:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
26.02.23	TP Mazembe - Monastir	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Real Bamako - Monastir	1:1 ✺
Tunisian Cup
15.02.23	Ben Guerdane - Monastir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
12.02.23	Monastir - Young Africans	2:0

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