Match Info

3. Lig Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Yozgat Sehir Stadyumu (Yozgat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	Tivibu Spor


	Yozgat Bozokspor		52 Orduspor

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.25	2.28
	2.47	2.56	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.98)	2.91 ↓ (3.25)	2.86 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yozgat Bozokspor
34.6%

Draw
32.4%

52 Orduspor
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.4%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.8%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yozgat Bozokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

52 Orduspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 52 Orduspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yozgat Bozokspor than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 52 Orduspor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 52 Orduspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Arslantas O. ⚽, Gurdal O. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Erdem G. ⚽, Karabey H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

Yozgat is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

52 Orduspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

52 Orduspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yozgat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Yozgat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yozgat Bozokspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
28.04.26	Karadeniz Ereğli - Yozgat Bozokspor	0:3 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
12.04.26	Yozgat Bozokspor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Yozgat Bozokspor - Orduspor 1967	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	52 Orduspor - Yozgat Bozokspor	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Yozgat Bozokspor - 1926 Bulancakspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW
- 52 Orduspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
28.04.26	52 Orduspor - Fatsa Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
24.04.26	Fatsa Belediyespor - 52 Orduspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
12.04.26	Düzcespor - 52 Orduspor	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	52 Orduspor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	6:0 ✺
28.03.26	52 Orduspor - Yozgat Bozokspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
28.03.26	52 Orduspor - Yozgat Bozokspor	0:2
06.12.25	Yozgat Bozokspor - 52 Orduspor	2:1
02.02.25	52 Orduspor - Yozgat Bozokspor	2:0

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