Match Info

Druga NL - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Zagora Unešić		Uljanik Pula

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.40	2.15
	2.82	3.69	2.14	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.19
	2.78	3.71	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.74)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.18 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagora Unešić
32.9%

Draw
25.3%

Uljanik Pula
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.8%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

25%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Zagora Unešić have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Uljanik Pula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagora Unešić than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uljanik Pula than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Zagora Unešić - Uljanik Pula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Prva NL).

Zagora has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Uljanik shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Uljanik could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Uljanik Pula	10	4	2	4	18:21	-3	14
10	Zagora	10	2	6	2	22:21	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Zagora Unešić
Croatian Druga NL
12.09.26	Solin - Zagora Unešić	1:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Zagora Unešić - Varaždin	0:4 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
29.08.26	Jarun Zagreb - Zagora Unešić	4:4 ✺
Croatian Cup
26.08.26	Zagora Unešić - Bratstvo Jurovec	4:2 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
22.08.26	Zagora Unešić - Koprivnica	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTWL
- NK Uljanik Pula
Croatian Druga NL
11.09.26	Uljanik Pula - Lučko	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Uljanik Pula - Dugo Selo	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Solin - Uljanik Pula	1:3 ✺
Croatian Cup
26.08.26	Tomislav Donji Andrijevci - Uljanik Pula	4:0 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
21.08.26	Uljanik Pula - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLW

Zagora Unešić - Uljanik Pula