Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 9

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Carina Gubin

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.40	4.50
	1.52	4.25	4.3
	1.55	4.35	4.62
	1.58	4.26	4.42	Watch
	1.49	4.25	4.55
	1.55	4.66	4.49	Watch
	1.43	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)	4.34 ↑ (4.2)	4.58 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
59.5%

Draw
20.8%

Carina Gubin
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.1%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Carina Gubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie 2 Lubin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carina Gubin than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Nowogonski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 2 - 0, Kolodziejski F. ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Nowogonski D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 3.

Zagłębie 2 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carina Gubin is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Zagłębie 2 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Zagłębie 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zaglebie II	11	6	5	0	23:13	10	23
18	Carina Gubin	11	2	2	7	8:22	-14	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.09.26	ROW Rybnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Miedź Legnica 2	3:2 ✺
19.08.26	Kluczbork - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWWW
- Carina Gubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
11.09.26	Carina Gubin - Odra Bytom Odrzański	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Polkowice - Carina Gubin	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Carina Gubin - Barycz Sułów	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carina Gubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:4 ✺
19.08.26	ROW Rybnik - Carina Gubin	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.05.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	1:4
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	4:1
Polish Division 3 - Group III
24.10.25	Carina Gubin - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:0
Club Friendly
14.07.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	2:0
Polish Division 3 - Group III
21.05.22	Carina Gubin - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2
Club Friendly
05.02.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group III
16.10.21	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	1:0

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