Match Info

Olympic Games Women - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Zambia W		Uganda W

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.10	5.00
	1.46	4.30	5.00
	1.45	4.15	5.47
	1.5	4.08	5.5
	1.42	3.85	5.35
	1.53	3.85	5.11
	1.48	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	5.29 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zambia W
60.9%

Draw
22.1%

Uganda W
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zambia W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Uganda W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Zambia W - Uganda W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Nanyangwe N. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Kabene S. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Phiri E. ⚽, Chilufya P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 1, Banda B. ⚽,
85', 4 - 1, Banda B. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

Bookmakers give the edge to Zambia for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Zambia has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zambia W
Olympic Games - Football Women
08.10.26	Uganda W - Zambia W	2:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations Women
05.08.26	Malawi W - Zambia W	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Nigeria W - Zambia W	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	Zambia W - Egypt W	6:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
22.07.26	Algeria W - Zambia W	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Uganda W
Olympic Games - Football Women
08.10.26	Uganda W - Zambia W	2:1 ✺
CECAFA Championship Women
19.06.25	Uganda W - Tanzania W	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Kenya W - Uganda W	4:0 ✺
15.06.25	South Sudan W - Uganda W	0:5 ✺
13.06.25	Uganda W - Burundi W	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Football Women
08.10.26	Uganda W - Zambia W	2:1
COSAFA Cup Women
05.10.21	Zambia W - Uganda W	1:0

Zambia W - Uganda W