Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Zarya		Chayka 2

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.35	12.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (2.01)	4.35 ↑ (3.1)	12.6 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarya
71.3%

Draw
21.3%

Chayka 2
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

24%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zarya's performance.

Chayka 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chayka 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (-34.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zarya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka 2 than the current prediction. (+23.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chayka 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zarya - Chayka 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Zakharov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 2 - 0, Zakharov M. ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, Glushchenko I. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Veselovsky R. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Vasilenko A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Zarya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chayka 2 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Zarya is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lugansk	24	8	6	10	34:33	1	30
14	FK Chayka 2	25	5	2	18	23:57	-34	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
02.05.26	Rubin Yalta - Zarya	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Zarya - Kyzyltash	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nart Cherkessk - Zarya	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Zarya - Druzhba Maykop	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dinskaya - Zarya	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LTTTL
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
02.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Chayka 2	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Chayka 2 - Dinskaya	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Angust Nazran - Chayka 2	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chayka 2 - Spartak Nalchik	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Kyzyltash - Chayka 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL

Zarya - Chayka 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide