Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: 1. LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: ADAX INVEST Arena (Brno)

Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	iSport.cz


	Zbrojovka Brno		Sigma Olomouc

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.5	2.37	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.25	2.5
	2.7	3.45	2.39
	2.74	3.81	2.47
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.66	3.58	2.41	Watch
	2.65	3.7	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.28)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2.46 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zbrojovka Brno
35.3%

Draw
26.7%

Sigma Olomouc
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.6%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zbrojovka Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zbrojovka Brno's form might have worsened.

Sigma Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sigma Olomouc's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zbrojovka Brno than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sigma Olomouc, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	18.7%	62.5%

Zbrojovka Brno - Sigma Olomouc Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zbrojovka Brno will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Sigma will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sigma: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Liga (7th~10th places) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Liga (7th~10th places)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zbrojovka Brno won 1.

Recent matches Zbrojovka Brno is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sigma is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zbrojovka Brno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zbrojovka Brno have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Zbrojovka Brno: Sural J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sigma: Gressak L. (Injury) Macik M. (Muscle Injury) Ventura D. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Zbrojovka Brno won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Zbrojovka Brno won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zbrojovka Brno
Czech 1 Liga
09.11.22	Viktoria Plzeň - Zbrojovka Brno	4:0 ✺
05.11.22	Dynamo České Budějovice - Zbrojovka Brno	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Zbrojovka Brno - Slovan Liberec	3:0 ✺
22.10.22	Pardubice - Zbrojovka Brno	1:3 ✺
Czech Cup
19.10.22	Táborsko - Zbrojovka Brno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWW
- Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga
05.11.22	Sigma Olomouc - Jablonec	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Teplice - Sigma Olomouc	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Sigma Olomouc - Zlín	2:1 ✺
Czech Cup
19.10.22	Zápy - Sigma Olomouc	1:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
15.10.22	Bohemians 1905 - Sigma Olomouc	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
06.08.22	Sigma Olomouc - Zbrojovka Brno	0:2
Czech Tipsport Liga
29.01.22	Sigma Olomouc - Zbrojovka Brno	2:1
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Sigma Olomouc - Zbrojovka Brno	2:0
Czech 1 Liga
20.02.21	Sigma Olomouc - Zbrojovka Brno	1:0
20.09.20	Zbrojovka Brno - Sigma Olomouc	2:4
Club Friendly
05.08.20	Sigma Olomouc - Zbrojovka Brno	0:2
16.05.20	Sigma Olomouc - Zbrojovka Brno	2:0

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