The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zenit 2 51.6%
Draw 25.4%
Tyumen 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
25%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
24.2%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit 2 than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Zenit 2 - Tyumen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
96. Zaytsev M. (G) 86. Barkov D. 72. Busalaev A. 89. Ivanov M. 63. Karelin S. 91. Kosarev K. 75. Levandovskiy B. 87. Nikiforov S. 47. Obonin K. 71. Shumikhin D. 70. Vershinin N.
66. Yanovich N. (G) 56. Demyanov V. 21. Dmitriev M. 70. Maryanov A. 27. Ofitserov M. 2. Polev A. 7. Roshchin A. 96. Rukas T. 90. Shakuro P. 17. Shitov V. 97. Talikin D.
Substitutes
80. Bulygin I. 85. Chernov S. 97. Dubinin E. 35. Gayvoronskiy D. 45. Glazunov K. 58. Izotov P. 49. Khanov L. 84. Mityaev A. (G) 93. Shichanin M. (G) 51. Shilov V. 43. Terentyev D. 64. Voinkov K.
11. Babaev V. 24. Grinwald V. 35. Kokarev V. (G) 25. Kulaev M. 14. Luzin S. 95. Oborocha I. 3. Polyakov M. 10. Tatarinov E. 4. Zakharov G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Maryanov A. ⚽,
34', Vershinin N. 🟨,
39', Talikin D. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Kosarev K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rukas T. ↓, Zakharov G. ↑,
46', Barkov D. ↓, Shilov V. ↑,
46', Dmitriev M. 🟨,
59', Talikin D. ↓, Polyakov M. ↑,
59', Dmitriev M. ↓, Tatarinov E. ↑,
65', Shakuro P. 🟨,
66', Maryanov A. ↓, Babaev V. ↑,
66', Shakuro P. ↓, Luzin S. ↑,
70', Karelin S. ↓, Terentyev D. ↑,
75', Levandovskiy B. ↓, Izotov P. ↑,
78', Nikiforov S. ↓, Glazunov K. ↑,
82', Ivanov M. 🟨,
83', Shitov V. ↓, Kulaev M. ↑,
88', Luzin S. 🟨,
90+2', Polyakov M. 🟨,
90+2', Obonin K. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Kulaev M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit 2 won 2.
Zenit 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tyumen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Zenit 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Zenit 2 is a strong favorite.
We predict that Zenit 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zenit 2 won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Zenit 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
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Zaytsev M. (G) 
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