Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday


	Zenit Irkutsk		Dynamo 2 Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.8
	1.84	3.45	3.35
	1.87	4.01	3.5
	1.88	3.66	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.55)	3.66 ↑ (3.25)	3.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Irkutsk
49.3%

Draw
25%

Dynamo 2 Moscow
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

21.5%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Irkutsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zenit Irkutsk's performance.

Dynamo 2 Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo 2 Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Irkutsk than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zenit Irkutsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo 2 Moscow than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo 2 Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zenit Irkutsk - Dynamo 2 Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Recent matches Zenit Irkutsk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo 2 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zenit Irkutsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
24.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
15.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Khimki	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
12.09.20	Luki-Energiya - Zenit Irkutsk	2:0 ✺
09.09.20	Dnepr Smolensk - Zenit Irkutsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Novosibirsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLLWW
- FC Dynamo 2 Moscow
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
24.09.20	Chita - Dynamo 2 Moscow	2:3 ✺
12.09.20	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Volga Tver	2:4 ✺
06.09.20	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Olimp Dolgoprudny	3:0 ✺
29.08.20	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Lokomotiv-Kazanka	2:2 ✺
23.08.20	Murom - Dynamo 2 Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWTW

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