Match Info

Date: 5 October 2021, Tuesday


	Zenit Izhevsk		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	4.75	1.36
	6	4.75	1.36
	8	5.6	1.21
	6.98	5.1	1.22
	7.8	5.45	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.01 ↑ (4.37)	5.13 ↑ (2.57)	1.29 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Izhevsk
12.8%

Draw
17.5%

Volga Ulyanovsk
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

35.4%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

27%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Izhevsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zenit Izhevsk's form might have worsened.

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volga Ulyanovsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Izhevsk than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volga Ulyanovsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.2%	10.2%	79.6%

Zenit Izhevsk - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Users Predictions: Volga Ulyanovsk will win (39 of 49 users predict this - 79.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.3% – 90.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).

Zenit Izhevsk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Volga Ulyanovsk is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Volga Ulyanovsk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zenit Izhevsk have a series of home games.

In this match Volga Ulyanovsk is absolute favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Zenit Izhevsk won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Zenit Izhevsk won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zenit Izhevsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
30.09.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Torpedo Miass	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Tyumen	0:4 ✺
Russian Cup
23.09.21	Zenit Izhevsk - CSKA Moscow	0:4 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
12.09.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Novosibirsk	0:1 ✺
05.09.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Zenit Izhevsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
30.09.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Irtysh Omsk	6:1 ✺
27.09.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Dynamo Barnaul	2:0 ✺
18.09.21	Chelyabinsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3 ✺
12.09.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Zvezda Perm	3:0 ✺
08.09.21	Dynamo Barnaul - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 4
30.05.21	Zenit Izhevsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3
31.10.20	Volga Ulyanovsk - Zenit Izhevsk	2:0
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
20.10.19	Volga Ulyanovsk - Zenit Izhevsk	0:2
16.08.19	Zenit Izhevsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:3
21.10.18	Zenit Izhevsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1
17.08.18	Volga Ulyanovsk - Zenit Izhevsk	2:0
16.05.18	Volga Ulyanovsk - Zenit Izhevsk	3:0

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