Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 7

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Zenit Penza		Shumbrat Saransk

	1	X	2
	5.97	4.1	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↑ (5.28)	4.1 ↑ (4)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit Penza
15.2%

Draw
22.2%

Shumbrat Saransk
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

22.7%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

22.2%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Shumbrat Saransk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shumbrat Saransk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Skrypnikov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', 1 - 1, Chubukin A. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Karpov K. ⚽,
68', 1 - 3, Abrasimov D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6).

Zenit Penza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shumbrat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Shumbrat is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	FK Shumbrat Saransk	26	13	5	8	46:35	11	44
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
02.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Volna Kovernino - Zenit Penza	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Zenit Penza - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Zenit Penza - Rotor 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- FK Shumbrat Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
02.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Shumbrat Saransk	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Shumbrat Saransk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Saturn Ramenskoye	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Spartak Tambov - Shumbrat Saransk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL

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