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Current Win Probability
Zenit Petersburg U19 65.3%
Draw 18.5%
Spartak Moscow U19 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
25.8%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
25%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit Petersburg U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zenit Petersburg U19's performance.
Spartak Moscow U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Moscow U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Petersburg U19 than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zenit Petersburg U19 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Moscow U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Koshevich Y. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Vladimirov Y. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Ivarlak I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 2 - 2, Tsygankov V. ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, Ivchenko N. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit U19 won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Bookmakers give the edge to Zenit U19 for this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Zenit U19 has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:16 (averaging 1.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zenit U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:6 goals (averaging 2.2:1 per game).
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