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Current Win Probability
Zimbru Chişinău 30.7%
Draw 29.9%
Sheriff Tiraspol 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
27.2%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
26.1%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zimbru Chişinău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zimbru Chişinău's form might have worsened.
Sheriff Tiraspol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zimbru Chişinău than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zimbru Chişinău, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheriff Tiraspol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zimbru Chişinău - Sheriff Tiraspol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Dokic I. (G) 22. Bonnah A. 7. Caio Dantas 24. Ceijas T. 4. Gonta C. 18. Gutium A. 11. Jonathas 23. Marcello 8. Matteo Amoroso 14. Rosario R. 35. Zolotov N.
1. Timbur E. (G) 19. Asprilla Moreno J. (C) 8. Botan D. 15. Ciss B. 24. Forov D. 26. Klas D. 29. Magassouba S. 37. Modelo J. 2. Ouedraogo M. 76. Pergjoni A. 77. Pineda J.
Substitutes
99. Betivu A. 27. Boyko D. 17. Butucel T. 10. Cociuc E. 6. Dias P. 9. Ebikabowei M. 71. Obrejan M. 20. Raileanu V. 1. Rusu D. (G) 92. Sirghi C. (G) 44. Ungureanu S.
28. Cebotari N. (G) 33. Corotcov M. 90. Costin V. 27. Cozma V. 30. Egupov A. 10. Fratea V. 42. Jaures-Ulrich L. 12. Josan R. (G) 99. Kone S. 6. Rai 11. Sapata
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Caio Dantas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 🟨,
51', Caio Dantas (Penalty Awarded),
57', 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Asprilla Moreno J. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Jonathas ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zimbru won 1.
Zimbru is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sheriff has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Zimbru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zimbru won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Zimbru won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
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Dokic I. (G) 
Bonnah A. 
Caio Dantas 
Ceijas T. 
Gonta C. 
Rosario R. 
Zolotov N. 
Asprilla Moreno J. (C) 
Ciss B. 
Klas D. 
Magassouba S. 
Modelo J. 
Ouedraogo M. 
Pergjoni A. 
Pineda J. 
Boyko D. 
Ebikabowei M. 
Jaures-Ulrich L. 
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