Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: ChNL - Round 11

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Letna (Zlin)

Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Chnliga.tv, Sporty TV


	Zlín		Sparta Prague B

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	5
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.48	4.1	5.4
	1.52	4.22	5.75
	1.54	4.17	5.68
	1.47	4.1	5.74	Watch
	1.48	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)	4.13 ↑ (3.6)	5.5 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlín
61.2%

Draw
22.1%

Sparta Prague B
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.3%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

23.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Sparta Prague B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague B than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Zlín - Sparta Prague B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Dostal S. (G) 24. Cernin J. 6. Didiba J. 23. Kopecny M. 8. Machalik D. 11. Natchkebia Z. 19. Nombil C. 88. Poznar T. 2. Simersky D. (C) 12. Tkac D. 77. Vukadinovic V.	1. Surovcik J. (G) 3. Hodous P. 9. Michl D. 12. Mokrovics R. 23. Okeke N. 31. Penxa L. 15. Riha F. 20. Rus D. 6. Tosnar J. 19. Uhrincat J. 24. Vecerka D. (C)
Substitutes
9. Brandner P. 30. Branecky L. 10. Buchvaldek L. 33. Cervinka D. 28. Kolar J. 27. Kulisek P. 36. Ovesny R. 79. Polášek Š. 1. Rakovan M. (G) 7. Reiter R. 18. Slouk M.	33. Cisse A. 37. Horak R. 27. Hranos V. 16. Hruska H. 8. Jedlicka M. 44. Nalezinek F. (G) 25. Novak V. 30. Penxa O. 11. Siler R.
Coaches
Cervenka B.	Loucka L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Vukadinovic V. (Pen),
12', Vukadinovic V. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Poznar T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rus D. ↓, Penxa O. ↑,
47', Didiba J. 🟨,
63', Mokrovics R. ↓, Hranos V. ↑,
63', Michl D. ↓, Siler R. ↑,
63', Tosnar J. ↓, Horak R. ↑,
67', Uhrincat J. 🟥,
70', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Polášek Š. ↑,
75', Hodous P. 🟨,
78', Penxa L. ↓, Novak V. ↑,
81', Tkac D. ↓, Buchvaldek L. ↑,
90+1', Poznar T. ↓, Branecky L. ↑,
90+1', Vukadinovic V. ↓, Reiter R. ↑,
90+1', Machalik D. ↓, Kulisek P. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga and 11).

Zlín in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sparta Prague B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zlín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zlín have a series of guest games.

In this match Zlín is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Zlín to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zlín
Czech Cup
25.09.24	Sokol Tasovice - Zlín	1:5 ✺
Czech Division 2
22.09.24	Baník Ostrava B - Zlín	0:1 ✺
17.09.24	Zlín - Slavia Prague B	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Zbrojovka Brno - Zlín	1:2 ✺
Czech Cup
27.08.24	Hranice - Zlín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW
- Sparta Prague B
Czech Division 2
21.09.24	Sparta Prague B - Vyškov	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Sparta Prague B - Táborsko	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Chrudim - Sparta Prague B	4:1 ✺
18.08.24	Zbrojovka Brno - Sparta Prague B	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Sparta Prague B - Varnsdorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLTT

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