Match Info

Nike liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Štadión FC ViOn (Zlaté Moravce)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Voyo


	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable		Trenčín

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.65	3.8
	1.9	3.5	4.1
	1.81	3.69	4.16
	1.87	3.67	3.67	Watch
	1.85	3.65	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (3.45)	3.63 ↓ (3.7)	3.91 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlaté Moravce-Vrable
50.3%

Draw
25.7%

Trenčín
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

24%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlaté Moravce-Vrable has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zlaté Moravce-Vrable's performance.

Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trenčín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlaté Moravce-Vrable than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zlaté Moravce-Vrable that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trenčín than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trenčín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Zlaté Moravce Vrable - Trenčín Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zlaté Moravce will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Trenčín will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zlaté Moravce: 62.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Zlaté Moravce (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Zlaté Moravce (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Zlaté Moravce (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Zlaté Moravce (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zlaté Moravce-Vrable will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Zlaté Moravce (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Toth G. (G) 22. Sula S. 4. Helebrand M. 5. Mrva M. 21. Kadlec J. 14. Duga D. 34. Gressak L. (C) 10. Nonikashvili L. 11. Baumgartner D. 29. Kuzma M. 16. Mondek K.	30. Slavicek M. (G) 25. Skovajsa L. 4. Bondarenko T. 29. Bessile L. 14. Holubek J. 16. Goss S. 27. Baris D. (C) 6. Hajovsky T. 22. Jepihhin D. 77. Suleiman S. 18. Fiala A.
Substitutes
45. Balaj F. 20. Donkor B. 6. Gono M. 89. Halo M. 37. Hodur S. 77. Kostal M. 72. Pichna J. (G) 9. Smiga D. 30. Starecek R.	2. Bagin S. 10. Ben Sallam S. 9. Emeka C. 1. Katic A. (G) 17. Khan M. 13. Nsumoh J. 90. Pavek H. 8. Yakubu A.
Coaches
Hudec R.	Galad I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Kuzma M. ⚽, Nonikashvili L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jepihhin D. ↓, Emeka C. ↑,
46', Baris D. ↓, Gajdos A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Emeka C. ⚽,
54', Baumgartner D. ↓, Halo M. ↑,
57', Kuzma M. ↓, Balaj F. ↑,
70', Fiala A. ↓, Nsumoh J. ↑,
75', Sula S. 🟨,
85', Suleiman S. ↓, Khan M. ↑,
85', Duga D. ↓, Gono M. ↑,
87', Hajovsky T. ↓, Ben Sallam S. ↑,
90', Gajdos A. 🟨,
90', Kadlec J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlaté Moravce won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Zlaté Moravce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trenčín will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zlaté Moravce won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zlaté Moravce won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zlaté Moravce-Vrable
Slovak 2 Liga
16.05.25	Zvolen - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:0 ✺
09.05.25	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Púchov	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Dynamo Malženice - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:5 ✺
25.04.25	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Slovan Bratislava II	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Šamorín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW
- FK AS Trenčín
Slovak Superliga
17.05.25	Trenčín - Skalica	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ružomberok - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Komárno - Trenčín	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Trenčín - Dukla Banská Bystrica	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Zemplín Michalovce - Trenčín	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.07.24	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:1
Slovak Superliga
18.05.24	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	2:2
13.04.24	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:0
16.12.23	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:1
17.09.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	1:2
12.05.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	1:2
15.04.23	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	2:1

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