Match Info

ChNL - Round 26

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Letna (Zlin)

Referee: Benes J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT2, CT sport Plus


	Zlín		Varnsdorf

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.6	3.75	4.8
	1.59	3.92	5.63
	1.61	3.8	5.51	Watch
	1.64	3.9	4.95	Watch
	1.6	3.75	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)	3.77 ↑ (3.5)	4.95 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlín
57.1%

Draw
24.4%

Varnsdorf
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.9%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zlín's performance.

Varnsdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zlín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Zlín - Varnsdorf Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Zlín (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Zlín will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zlín will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Zlín (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Dostal S. (G) 31. Bartosak L. 24. Cernin J. 14. Kanu S. 28. Kolar J. 23. Kopecny M. 11. Natchkebia Z. 19. Nombil C. 88. Poznar T. (C) 12. Tkac D. 77. Vukadinovic V.	33. Vanak M. (G) 7. Dufek L. 2. Hora J. 12. Karban K. 22. Kouril M. 21. Kubista M. (C) 5. Leitl M. 16. Lexa M. 4. Osaghae S. 3. Suleiman A. 18. Velich O.
Substitutes
64. Bachurek S. (G) 9. Brandner P. 10. Buchvaldek L. 6. Didiba J. 15. Koubek M. 8. Machalik D. 16. Petruta S. 79. Polasek S. 1. Rakovan M. (G) 7. Reiter R. 2. Simersky D.	17. Dohalsky P. 11. Jibrin M. 8. Lawal E. 1. Pesl L. (G) 23. Podzimek O. 19. Rudnytskyy P. 6. Vlk M.
Coaches
Cervenka B.	Papousek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Kanu S. 🟨,
44', Cernin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hora J. ↓, Vlk M. ↑,
48', Lexa M. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Kopecny M. ⚽, Vukadinovic V. (A),
53', Kopecny M. 🟨,
68', Kanu S. ↓, Brandner P. ↑,
68', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Didiba J. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Tkac D. ⚽,
74', Poznar T. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
74', Tkac D. ↓, Petruta S. ↑,
78', Velich O. ↓, Podzimek O. ↑,
78', Lexa M. ↓, Rudnytskyy P. ↑,
78', Suleiman A. ↓, Dohalsky P. ↑,
86', Vukadinovic V. ↓, Polasek S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 3.

Zlín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Varnsdorf is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Zlín is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zlín
Czech Division 2
27.04.25	Sparta Prague B - Zlín	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Zlín - Baník Ostrava B	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Vysočina Jihlava - Zlín	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Zlín - Zbrojovka Brno	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Slavia Prague B - Zlín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTTW
- FK Varnsdorf
Czech Division 2
27.04.25	Varnsdorf - Prostějov	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Sigma Olomouc B - Varnsdorf	0:3 ✺
16.04.25	Varnsdorf - Táborsko	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Vyškov - Varnsdorf	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Varnsdorf - Artis Brno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
06.10.24	Varnsdorf - Zlín	0:2
Czech Cup
24.09.19	Varnsdorf - Zlín	1:2
Czech Division 2
20.03.15	Zlín - Varnsdorf	6:0
31.08.14	Varnsdorf - Zlín	3:0
31.05.14	Varnsdorf - Zlín	2:1
08.11.13	Zlín - Varnsdorf	0:1
12.04.13	Zlín - Varnsdorf	3:0

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