Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Letna (Zlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stary D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	15:30	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	15:30	Voyo


	Zlín		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.25	1.75	Watch
	4.35	3.35	1.8	Watch
	5.05	3.46	1.81
	4.83	3.39	1.78	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.75
	4.92	3.37	1.81	Watch
	5	3.6	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.49)	3.4 ↓ (3.54)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlín
19.5%

Draw
27.4%

Viktoria Plzeň
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.8%

26.4%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

25.7%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Zlín - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Plzeň will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zlín: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zlín (votes: 1 - 25%). Plzeň (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Zlín (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Zlín (3.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Zlín (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Plzeň (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Dostal S. (G) 39. Krapka A. 25. Jugas J. (C) 28. Kolar J. 23. Kopecny M. 6. Didiba J. 19. Nombil C. 22. Fukala M. 16. Petruta S. 88. Poznar T. 8. Machalik D.	44. Wiegele F. (G) 16. Kadlec A. 37. Krcik D. 14. Doski M. 12. Sojka A. 32. Valenta M. 17. Hrosovsky P. 6. Cerv L. (C) 29. Sloncik T. 70. Lawal S. 80. Adu P.
Substitutes
31. Bartosak L. 24. Cernin J. 26. Cupak M. 91. Kalabiska J. 14. Kanu S. 34. Knobloch M. (G) 15. Koubek M. 5. Penkevics K. 10. Pesek J. 82. Pisoja M. 4. Ulbrich T.	40. Dweh S. 18. Ladra T. 99. Memic A. 20. Panos J. 19. Souare C. 1. Tapaj D. (G) 10. Toure M. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 51. Vasulin D. 9. Visinsky D.
Coaches
Cervenka B.	Hysky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Poznar T. ⚽, Machalik D. (A),
30', Kolar J. ↓, Cernin J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sloncik T. ↓, Memic A. ↑,
46', Petruta S. ↓, Pisoja M. ↑,
65', Cerv L. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
65', Lawal S. ↓, Ladra T. ↑,
65', Adu P. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
67', Machalik D. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
67', Poznar T. ↓, Cupak M. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Cupak M. ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Cupak M. ⚽, Koubek M. (A),
82', Valenta M. ↓, Souare C. ↑,
86', Didiba J. ↓, Pesek J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zlín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Plzeň is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Zlín: Bartosak L. (Injury) Penkevics K. (Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Paluska J. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Plzeň: Jemelka V. (Knee Injury) Spacil K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 11:46. (average 0.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Plzen	12	4	4	4	24:21	3	16
16	Zlin	12	0	2	10	9:24	-15	2

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Plzen: 1.79% Zlin: 0.66%

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Plzeň - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zlín
Czech 1 Liga
21.02.26	Hradec Králové - Zlín	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Dukla Prague - Zlín	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Zlín - Sparta Prague	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	Slovan Liberec - Zlín	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Zlín - Lokomotiv Sofia	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLL?
- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Panathinaikos	1:2 penalties ✺
Czech 1 Liga
22.02.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Sparta Prague	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
14.02.26	Sigma Olomouc - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovan Liberec	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
28.09.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	0:1
Czech Cup
27.02.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	4:1 ET
24.04.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	3:0
Czech 1 Liga
24.02.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	3:0
17.09.23	Zlín - Viktoria Plzeň	1:7
23.04.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	4:0
29.10.22	Zlín - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3

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