Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Znamya Truda		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	4.3	3.7	1.63
	4.3	3.94	1.63	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (4.46)	3.8 ↓ (4)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znamya Truda
20.9%

Draw
23.8%

Spartak Kostroma
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

23.3%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

22.9%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Znamya Truda have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Znamya Truda - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 2 (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Znamya Truda won 1.

Znamya Truda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Spartak Kostroma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Znamya Truda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Spartak Kostroma is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Znamya Truda won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Znamya Truda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znamya Truda Orekhovo-Zuyevo
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
08.10.22	Torpedo Vladimir - Znamya Truda	1:1 ✺
26.09.22	Znamya Truda - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:1 ✺
22.09.22	Murom - Znamya Truda	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Znamya Truda - Dynamo 2 Moscow	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Znamya Truda	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLLL
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
08.10.22	Spartak Kostroma - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Murom - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
26.09.22	Spartak Kostroma - Chertanovo	4:0 ✺
22.09.22	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	3:5 ✺
18.09.22	Spartak Kostroma - Torpedo Moscow 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL West
28.10.17	Spartak Kostroma - Znamya Truda	4:1
03.08.17	Znamya Truda - Spartak Kostroma	2:3
11.08.16	Spartak Kostroma - Znamya Truda	1:0
20.05.16	Spartak Kostroma - Znamya Truda	2:0
11.10.15	Znamya Truda - Spartak Kostroma	3:2
23.10.14	Spartak Kostroma - Znamya Truda	0:1
25.07.14	Znamya Truda - Spartak Kostroma	1:0

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